As COP30 approaches, with tropical forests as a central theme, it's essential to examine current trajectories and imagine their potential outcomes.
The first phase of the forest crisis was destruction, with last year's fires affecting over three million hectares of tropical primary forest in South America.
The world already knows what is burning; what it hasn’t decided is whether it truly wants to stop it.
The causes of deforestation, including fragmented governance, cheap credit for land clearance, and a market that rewards destruction, are structural and require structural solutions.
A new approach, focusing on deliberate, structural, and sustained design, is necessary to protect and value tropical forests.
Author's summary: Rethinking tropical forest protection beyond deforestation.